Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.014055 0.017323 0.021515 0.027437 0.035843 4.778752e-02 0.066940
2025-02-09 0.010121 0.013664 0.018870 0.027556 0.042816 7.132100e-02 0.138171
2025-02-16 0.008176 0.011674 0.017278 0.027756 0.049355 1.002430e-01 0.276708
2025-02-23 0.006904 0.010259 0.015983 0.027663 0.055132 1.352145e-01 0.566557
2025-03-02 0.005845 0.008919 0.014392 0.026270 0.057082 1.639995e-01 1.064484
2025-03-09 0.005138 0.008027 0.013373 0.025658 0.060714 2.070302e-01 2.476408
2025-03-16 0.004699 0.007522 0.012960 0.026251 0.068494 2.905520e-01 11.049551
2025-03-23 0.004298 0.007016 0.012427 0.026350 0.075004 3.957858e-01 157.143171
2025-03-30 0.003864 0.006384 0.011503 0.025114 0.075747 4.690355e-01 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003540 0.005923 0.010867 0.024480 0.078723 5.914849e-01 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003352 0.005703 0.010725 0.025233 0.089056 9.194427e-01 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003246 0.005635 0.010915 0.027098 0.108026 1.846030e+00 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003121 0.005539 0.011101 0.029379 0.136869 5.604847e+00 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002905 0.005229 0.010706 0.029534 0.153347 1.521197e+01 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002720 0.004960 0.010363 0.029755 0.172556 7.192929e+01 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002547 0.004695 0.009977 0.029653 0.190160 1.516209e+03 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002348 0.004348 0.009313 0.028122 0.189210 3.756513e+07 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002198 0.004099 0.008879 0.027451 0.198734 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002102 0.003965 0.008746 0.028101 0.230691 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002000 0.003806 0.008516 0.028209 0.257349 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001871 0.003570 0.008025 0.026854 0.254017 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001769 0.003392 0.007685 0.026160 0.263373 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001712 0.003316 0.007639 0.026984 0.313274 NaN NaN